In brief
On Wednesday a Russian‐flagged tanker dubbed the Forwarder entered the English Channel, marking the first such passage since UK forces seized the unregistered vessel Smyrtos. Tracking data shows the tanker curved south and set a course toward Dongying, China. The vessel, sanctioned by the UK, US and EU, is part of a fleet that carries some 75% of Russia’s sanctioned oil. Naval analysts note that Royal Navy ships were in the area and that a Russian frigate, Admiral Grigorovich, may have been nearby, though it is unclear if it escorted the tanker. The incident follows a policy change by UK prime minister Sir Keir Starmer that allows boarding of sanction‑flagged ships in British waters—a move seen by some as a restraint against escalating tensions. After Smyrtos was seized, many sanctioned vessels altered routes to avoid the Channel, favoring the Irish coast, yet the Forwarder defied this trend, highlighting the ongoing tug‑of‑war between sanctions enforcement and maritime freedom.
A Russian‑flagged vessel named Forwarder entered the English Channel on Wednesday, the first sanctioned tanker to do so since the Royal Marines boarded the unregistered ship Smyrtos earlier this week.
The Forwarder departed Primorsk last week, loaded oil at the region’s largest refinery and headed south with a claimed destination of Dongying, China. Ship‑tracking data, monitored by BBC Verify, shows the tanker steering clear of the UK’s territorial waters, though a Royal Navy warship, HMS Tyne, was reported nearby.
The vessel is among the shadow fleet—an array of more than 700 ageing tankers—estimated to move 75% of Russia’s sanctioned oil. Since 2022’s war in Ukraine, the fleet has adapted routes to dodge the English Channel after the May boards and sanctions tightened. The Forwarder’s passage, however, signals a potential shift in the patrol patterns or a lapse in enforcement.
Possible Escort by Admiral Grigorovich?
A NATO spokesperson has said the Russian frigate Admiral Grigorovich has been assigned to escort sanctioned tankers. While the frigate fired warning shots at a British yacht in the Channel earlier this week, it remains unclear whether it tracked the Forwarder. Maritime analysts suggest that because the Forwarder is Russian‑flagged and not under a false flag, Western navies would likely abstain from boarding it.
Strategic Implications
Keir Starmer’s announcement that British forces could board sanction‑flagged vessels operating unlawfully in UK waters poses a sharp test. Some security experts warn that such action could trigger further escalation, especially if a Russian warship jointly escorts or protects the vessel. The Forwarder’s recent voyage underscores the delicate balance between enforcing sanctions and maintaining naval sovereignty in the English Channel.
